Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 19.678521 22.275748 25.107409 28.427110 32.216515 36.412073 41.416183
2025-02-09 15.545825 19.017656 23.123779 28.352207 34.852892 42.695626 52.914599
2025-02-16 12.522214 16.309195 21.093473 27.611594 36.308146 47.577616 63.395541
2025-02-23 10.470395 14.369355 19.575112 27.084388 37.723075 52.380344 74.319977
2025-03-02 8.993369 12.909917 18.394414 26.707848 39.119498 57.165256 85.759656
2025-03-09 7.946784 11.870823 17.603308 26.685991 40.899428 62.594266 98.797291
2025-03-16 7.087484 10.971513 16.865278 26.584269 42.456713 67.781709 112.098017
2025-03-23 6.616003 10.590892 16.842466 27.549254 45.759719 76.072707 131.596226
2025-03-30 6.044274 9.972406 16.353483 27.663821 47.625773 82.167606 148.151445
2025-04-06 5.421643 9.192845 15.501147 27.037311 48.097479 85.858352 160.838895
2025-04-13 4.915360 8.550755 14.801695 26.574924 48.766604 89.923620 174.725910
2025-04-20 4.663299 8.322471 14.789992 27.336910 51.761428 98.633455 198.906773
2025-04-27 4.478627 8.206968 14.987330 28.551813 55.859527 110.172140 231.043762
2025-05-04 4.193419 7.876078 14.754157 28.916569 58.343984 118.882935 258.757140
2025-05-11 3.824340 7.346325 14.086523 28.337083 58.822395 123.525554 278.313302
2025-05-18 3.509165 6.888159 13.508055 27.866249 59.459935 128.579361 299.640087
2025-05-25 3.239823 6.493193 13.012696 27.506827 60.284059 134.140624 323.091186
2025-06-01 3.032050 6.202291 12.698095 27.495984 61.878612 141.656694 352.621254
2025-06-08 2.836052 5.915886 12.362322 27.395747 63.248728 148.828098 382.514763
2025-06-15 2.750775 5.856653 12.504451 28.394085 67.346099 163.151056 433.834668
2025-06-22 2.600700 5.640828 12.281224 28.513215 69.316928 172.469423 473.197819
2025-06-29 2.406454 5.307891 11.762905 27.866611 69.285032 176.650470 498.792757
2025-07-06 2.242114 5.027052 11.335098 27.389297 69.618362 181.820168 528.170533